Temperatures are back to winter again, and we did pick up about 2" of new snow to put a nice surface back on the snow after the Thursday/Friday thaw. Cold through Tuesday, then warming a bit with some chance of rain, but cooler again by next weekend. Clearly no meltdown in sight, so keep on skiing.
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Introduction
After two days of high temperatures, the weather has cooled down. We picked up a dusting to 1" overnight, but should get another inch or so by Sunday morning. After that, temperatures only in the upper 20s through Tuesday, but then again warming up later in the week with a chance of rain as well. Unbridged brook crossings will be a challenge even after the waters go down because any brook that "went out" will be flowing in a deep trench. Of particular concern would be the crossing of Marcy Brook at Indian Falls on the Marcy trail. The other questionable crossing will be the Opalescent River in Flowed Lands, but there at least one can stay on the hiking trail to get to Lake Colden. Most areas still have a good base. Skiing today won't be that good, but should be much better Sunday to Tuesday at least. As noted in the previous report, it is now "spring conditions" so until the snow melts a lot more the controlling factor will be temperature. There will be some isolated bare spots on southern slopes and in open areas where earlier winds earlier blew much of the snow away, but these shouldn't require too much walking to cross.
The forecasts remain consistent that today, Thursday, and again on Friday will see temperatures in the 50s. This won't be an extended thaw, however, and even these two very warm days won't diminish the snow depth very much in most areas. South-facing slopes at lower elevations will likely become bare, but the Jackrabbit Trail, backcountry trails, and the groomed centers will retain plenty of snow for the coming weekend. While its a bit early to tell just how much, we will get some new snow as it cools down on Friday night and into Saturday. This will mitigate what otherwise would be hard, frozen granular surface conditions. Then highs only in the 20s Sunday and Monday before it again warms up to the upper 30s on Wednesday.
So, it looks like we have enough base (5' at Lake Colden and 6-7' at higher elevations) for an extended season of spring skiing. As always, conditions can vary widely from hour to hour as the day warms up and softens any surface that froze up overnight, and this report won't try to keep up with these changes. Watching the weather for predicted temperatures will be the best way to know what any skiing will be like. Update again on Saturday when we know how much snow actually fell overnight. Sorry about no update on the promised Thursday, but there really wasn't anything that had changed since the previous report. Still nice powder surfaces, jackrabbit Trail fully skiable, 60+ inches of snow at Lake Colden, and all X-C centers in full operation. The only change to report now is that it now appears that Sunday's threatened rain will be all snow. Not the nice light powder we've been enjoying for the past two weeks or so, but hey, wet snow is better than wet rain any day. Continued cold through mid week, but then significant warming trend on Thursday and Friday. Friday may see temperatures topping 50, but cooler on Saturday, so no final meltdown of this nice base we've managed to accumulate. That's it for now.
Not really much to update since last week. Temperatures have remained below freezing, we've picked up a few more inches of snow, and all popular ski routes have been broken out and have great conditions. The popular routes broken out include the seven mile ski to Boreas Ponds, and the parking area is again plowed. Don't miss this opportunity to see that view when one can additionally ski out onto the ponds for a wider view.
Mid-week will see true mid-winter cold with temperatures Wednesday and Thursday only reaching to low teens after a below zero start. Friday is upper 20s, and Saturday will actually be close to 30. Unfortunately, the warming trend continues into Sunday with the dreaded "R" word again in the forecast. Sunday, however, is a long way off, and we will monitor the forecasts and provide an update - probably on Thursday, 3/7. |
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